Reckon Shogun's lineup is most likely although there is a chance he will draft Stones/Heitinga/Alcaraz in and go 3-5-2.
Hoping Oviedo gets a chance to show what he can do in a competitive game over ninety minutes. I think we will win but I think whenever we get the ball it will be slow and hard work breaking them down while they will look to hit us on set pieces.
I can't see him going 3 at the back myself, were having relative success adapting to the current change in style. To add a new dimension now before we've actually perfected this new way of playing would be to risky, maybe if we'd stayed in the cup longer or actually weren't doing as well things might be different. But considering we've got options for a straight forward 1 for 1 replacement for Baines I can't see the benefits.
Like you say Silas which ever way he goes Stoke's game plan will be to contain, sit deep and hope for counter attacks and set pieces.