Wouldn't xg be somewhat redundant to look at near the end of the season?
I would imagine there is a difference from season to season so should we be looking at actuals (in terms of goals scored and conceded) at this stage?
Yes and no.
Xg now would be useful if all things remain the same.
They won’t but large parts may, so it’s still something to bear in mind (see RMs first season where the xg for and against werent as good as actual performance).
As it happens, the defensive xg is promising as you don’t need to score bucket loads to get a decent points return.
For us in terms of attacking xg I think we get in decent positions but often make a terrible decision with the final pass or don’t even get a shot away.
I think they can be improved simply with players who are better in those situations. As in I think that’s easier that solving the formations we use given the current balance of players that we have.