tbh all the rules confuse me. I think it's best just to keep playing our best and then just see what happens. Knowing these things are in reach is the best thing, as it motivates, but knowing you need to finish 7th or whatever will perhaps make you relax if you do get there. We need to just keep pushing on.
The way I see it, 4th is a (small) possibility, but I'm not ruling it out. 5th is probably just as hard as 4th, as no one is going to walk away with 4th easily and I suspect they will be pushed until the last game or two. 6th sounds hard, but is realistically achievable. 7th will hopfully get European football, and I think it is very achievable. Assuming one of the other 4 pining for 4th place slip up, and we keep at it, I am certain we can get 7th.