For me Russia are the favourites for 2018. Money plays no role, well that's handy with FIFA being as corrupt as it is.
Plus they have never organized either the World Cup and the Euros, which is a legitimate plus.
My country, together with Belgium, are no more than outsiders in my estimation, despite trying to establish an orange party atmosphere today.
A lot of people here don't even want it, with FIFA pocketing all the (tax-free!) profits..
As for 2022, all the countries have organized it except for Australia.
Well and Qatar too, if you can take that bid seriously with the summer heat taken into consideration.
I've followed this one less, so can't say more than that.