May 25, 2020, 05:40:36 AM

Author Topic: Brandís Recruitment Philosophy  (Read 20812 times)

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October 24, 2019, 03:38:58 AM
Reply #345
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Lxxx


Struggling to understand why poster after poster canít get the spelling of a very simple surname correct.


October 24, 2019, 04:52:37 PM
Reply #346
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Macca77


Struggling to understand why poster after poster canít get the spelling of a very simple surname correct.

I know, it's ridiclus

October 27, 2019, 01:25:36 PM
Reply #347
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Bob Sacamano

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Time for some big balls decision making from this guy this Xmas.


October 27, 2019, 01:38:20 PM
Reply #348
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KoemansNumberTens


The starting striker we desperately needed now appears to be third choice and a manager with a poor long term record and horrendous short term 1 is still at the club. Oh and he fucked up signing a centre half.

So far heís really not been good and every passing day silva lumps on it gets worse.

May 22, 2020, 06:16:23 PM
Reply #349
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brap2

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Article in the athletic using a recruitment analytics company I follow (elpivote fella works for them, and some others off twitter ive been following a while).

I don't actually have access but if you do then you know, have a bead
I knew that someday I was going to die, and I knew that before I died, two things would happen to me. That number one; I would regret my entire life, and number two; that I would want to live my life over again.

May 22, 2020, 06:22:34 PM
Reply #350
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Jimmywhack

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Article in the athletic using a recruitment analytics company I follow (elpivote fella works for them, and some others off twitter ive been following a while).

I don't actually have access but if you do then you know, have a bead
The next transfer window, whenever it opens, will be a crucial one for Everton.

Twelfth in the Premier League before this enforced suspension of football, the season to date has shown the need for reinforcements in several key positions if Carlo Ancelottiís side are to compete for European places.

The Athletic asked recruitment specialists MRKT Insights, who provide scouting services for the Championshipís Swansea City and Tampa Bay Rowdies of the US second tier among others, to run the rule over the squad ahead of an important window for Ancelotti and director of football Marcel Brands.

From transfer targets to ways of trimming the size of the squad, what follows is a blueprint for Evertonís summer recruitment and the years ahead.

Since arriving at Goodison Park in December, Ancelotti has almost exclusively used a flat 4-4-2 formation and embraced high-intensity football centred on a pair of mobile strikers. The graph below charts Passes Allowed Per Defensive Action (PPDA) on the horizontal axis and passing accuracy on the vertical.

Everton are in the bottom-right quadrant reserved for teams that press with high intensity but have low passing accuracy.

[https://cdn]

With Ancelotti known for his tactical versatility, the focus should be on providing him with options that allow different systems to be used while ensuring that there are no obvious gaps in the squad.

The first observation to make about Evertonís squad is the sheer size of it.

In the season so far, Everton have used 23 different players in Premier League fixtures. The squad contains 18 additional players who have not featured in 2019-20, and seven yet to appear for the club at all.

During Januaryís general meeting, Brands stated his aim to reduce the squad from 41 players to an altogether more sustainable 23. To decide which of the 41 should be retained, a playerís age, contract length and suitability for the clubís preferred systems should all be taken into account. This is a far easier task when there is a clear playing style.

So the aim here is to assess the current squad against the flat 4-4-2 formation while noting that a midfield diamond and 4-3-3 are possible alternatives.

Playing position and contract length

 

Everton's goalkeepers

POSITIONNAMECONTRACT END

Goalkeeper

Jordan Pickford

2024

Goalkeeper

Jonas Lossl

2022

Goalkeeper

Joao Virginia

2021

Goalkeeper

Maarten Stekelenburg

2020

Putting aside any questions as to whether individual players should be upgraded, Everton appear to have sufficient depth in the goalkeeping ranks for the 2020-21 season. Maarten Stekelenburg is expected to leave this summer once his deal expires, but former Huddersfield Town first choice Jonas Lossl and promising 20-year-old Joao Virginia provide cover.

Everton's right-backs

POSITIONNAMECONTRACT END

Right-back

Seamus Coleman

2022

Right-back

Jonjoe Kenny

2022

Right-back

Djibril Sidibe

2020

Right-back

Cuco Martina

2020

Right-back

Callum Connolly

2021

There are currently five options for the right-back position, but Djibril Sidibeís loan from Monaco expires this summer and Cuco Martina is also set to leave as a free agent. A decision is yet to be taken on whether to activate Sidibeís purchase option of around £13 million. Callum Connolly, who has been a regular starter since joining League One promotion chasers Fleetwood Town on loan in January, comes to the end of his contract next summer.

Everton's left-backs

POSITIONNAMECONTRACT END

Left-back

Lucas Digne

2023

Left-back

Leighton Baines

2020

Left-back

Luke Garbutt

2020

With only Lucas Digne under contract after next month, finding left-back cover is important. The Athletic reported earlier this year that Leighton Baines is swaying towards signing a new deal, potentially providing the short-term cover Ancelotti needs.

Everton's centre-backs

POSITIONNAMECONTRACT END

Centre-back

Yerry Mina

2023

Centre-back

Mason Holgate

2025

Centre-back

Michael Keane

2022

Centre-back

Lewis Gibson

2022

Centre-back

Matthew Pennington

2021

Everton have three central defenders with significant experience in the Premier League. With the agreed plan for Lewis Gibson ó who has impressed since joining Connolly on loan at Fleetwood in January ó understood to involve a further loan this summer at a higher level, an additional centre-back will be required.

Everton's centre midfielders

POSITIONNAMEPREFERRED POSITIONROLE IN 4-4-2CONTRACT END

Centre midfield

Fabian Delph

CM8

CM6

2022

Centre midfield

Morgan Schneiderlin

DM6

DM6

2021

Centre midfield

Gylfi Sigurdsson

AM10

CM8

2022

Centre midfield

Tom Davies

CM8

CM8

2023

Centre midfield

Jean-Philippe Gbamin

DM6

DM6

2024

Centre midfield

Andre Gomes

CM8

CM8

2024

Centre midfield

Beni Baningime

DM6

DM6

2022

Centre midfield

Dennis Adeniran

CM8

CM8

2021

Centre midfield

Muhamed Besic

CM8

CM8

2021

Centre Midfield

Kieran Dowell

AM10

LW

2021

Centre Midfield

Alex Iwobi

AM10

LW

2024

Most clubs classify their midfielders as a six, an eight and a 10, with six referring to a holding player, eight a box-to-box player and 10 a creative midfielder. In a flat-four, the midfield needs to be made up of players with mobility and a high defensive work-rate. Creative players, such as Alex Iwobi, generally move to wide roles.

Everton may want to increase the solidity of the central midfield by adding more physical presence, particularly with Jean-Philippe Gbaminís injury problems.

Everton's right midfielders

POSITIONNAMECONTRACT END

Right wing

Theo Walcott

2021

Right wing

Yannick Bolasie

2021

Right wing

Josh Bowler

2021

The right wing is an obvious area where a replacement is required as all three current players are out of contract in 2021.

Everton's left midfielders

POSITIONNAMECONTRACT END

Left wing

Bernard

2022

Left wing

Anthony Gordon

2023

Left wing

Nathan Broadhead

2021

Academy prospect Anthony Gordon can play as left winger or striker and Iwobi can play left midfield so sufficient options exist already within the squad.

Everton's strikers

POSITIONNAMECONTRACT END

Striker

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

2025

Striker

Richarlison

2024

Striker

Moise Kean

2024

Striker

Cenk Tosun

2022

Striker

Sandro Ramirez

2021

Striker

Shani Tarashaj

2021

Striker

Fraser Hornby

2021

Striker

Oumar Niasse

2020

Everton have three extremely good, young strikers on the books, the option of moving Gordon from the wing to the front two and some exciting prospects in the under-23 and under-18 squads. As a result, it is not felt another striker will be required. Cenk Tosunís loan to Crystal Palace, cut short because of a long-term injury, contained a purchase option of around £20 million and Everton will look to find a permanent buyer for the Turkey international once he eventually returns to full fitness.

Sandro Ramirez is expected to leave either on loan or permanently over the summer, while Fraser Hornbyís loan to Belgian side Kortrijk is believed to contain a purchase option. Oumar Niasse, out of contract at the end of the season, will also leave the club.

Given the contract expiration dates for existing squad members, and a quality assessment of the playing staff, the key positions to be recruited for 2020-2021 are:

ó Starting right midfielder

ó Starting centre-back

ó Starting central midfielder

ó Back-up left-back

ó Starting right-back

Squad size and budget

Each position within the starting line-up accounts for just over nine per cent of the total minutes played in a season ó ie if Digne were to play every minute of every game, his overall total would account for nine per cent of the total minutes amassed by Everton players throughout a season. It is a formula that helps work out whether the players a club have invested in most (the ones on lucrative contracts) are getting the majority of minutes for the team during a campaign or whether fringe players are taking up too much of the budget.

Analysing the Everton squad on this basis, it is clear there are many players on large wages who do not play in the first team.

Everton squad by contract length

CONTRACT END YEAR% OF 2019/2020 MINUTES PLAYED% OF TOTAL SQUAD WAGES

2020

7

11

2021

7

20

2022

26

27

2023

20

12

2024

27

25

2025

13

5

All things remaining equal, Evertonís wage bill could reduce by as much as 31 per cent over the next year with only 14 per cent of minutes of output requiring replacement. As mentioned above, Stekelenburg, Garbutt, Martina and Niasse should all depart at the end of the current campaign, while some high earners also see their contracts expire at the end of next season.

By June 2022, Everton have the potential to get around 58 per cent (31 players) of the current wages off the books, with 40 per cent of the played minutes requiring replacement.

The contracts of squad regulars Michael Keane, Gylfi Sigurdsson, Bernard, Fabian Delph, Seamus Coleman and Tosun will expire in 2022. Decisions on their futures will need to be taken this summer to protect their value.

In summary, Everton have a huge opportunity over the next three summers to reduce the squad size significantly while increasing the quality of their first team.

Potential signings

Central defence

Everton are understood to have cast their net far and wide across Europe in the search for a left-sided centre-back.

The Athletic has previously reported Evertonís interest in Gabriel Magalhaes of Lille. Gabriel, as he is known, can play as the main stopping defender alongside Mason Holgate and would be a good choice. He has the pace to perform the covering role alongside Yerry Mina, having provided cover for Jose Fonte this season at Lille.

Everton have tasked scouts with finding a centre-back that is defensively assured but able to contribute to build-up play and open up the left side of the pitch more for Digne and Co. Gabriel, at just 22, profiles well in both of these aspects. The Brazilian has won just under 70 per cent of his defensive duels in Ligue 1 this season and is in the top 25 per cent league-wide for aerial duels and tackle success. Importantly, he plays 43 per cent of his passes forward at a high success rate of 76 per cent and boasts an overall pass accuracy of just under 87 per cent. He is also in the top five per cent in League 1 for progressive passes.

An alternative would be Evan NíDicka of Eintracht Frankfurt, who similarly wins close to 60 per cent of his aerial duels, 63.5 per cent of his overall defensive duels and plays nearly 42 per cent of his passes forwards at an accuracy of 76 per cent. NíDicka has a powerful build, is physically imposing and very good on the ball. His ability to defend space and deal with nimble attackers would improve a weak area of Evertonís defence.

NíDicka would also provide a solution to the problem of left-back cover as he has the versatility to play as a full-back.

Right-back

Everton have four potential options at this position:

ó Coleman

ó Jonjoe Kenny

ó Sidibe (who can be bought for £13 million

ó An alternative right-back

Statistically, Coleman, Sidibe and Kenny all possess similar profiles.

Coleman progresses the ball down the pitch the most of the three through his running and dribbling (averaging 2.3 progressive runs and 1.6 touches in the box per game compared to Sidibeís 1.33 and 1.01 and Kennyís 0.91 and 0.64), while Sidibe offers the most direct attacking threat, averaging comfortably the highest crosses/pass ratio of the three at a higher accuracy (though he did also play on the right of midfield for some games). Kenny, on loan at Schalke in Germany, has the most successful passes into the penalty area (1.57 per game to Sidibeís 1.44 and Colemanís 1.26).

All three are below-average defensively among their league peers from a statistical perspective, Coleman ranking in the bottom 50 per cent in the following categories: aerial duels, aerial duels won, possession-adjusted tackles, possession-adjusted interceptions; Sidibe in aerial duels won, fouls conceded and possession-adjusted interceptions; and Kenny in aerial duels, defensive duels, defensive duels won and tackle success rate.

Looking at the location map for where opponents provide shot-creating passes highlights clear problems in the right-back area, with a large cluster of passes originating in that part of the pitch. Besides, Digne is providing far more attacking threat than any of the existing right-back options.

[https://cdn]

With Everton having two of the best aerial threats in the league up front in Richarlison and Dominic Calvert-Lewin, the right-back must be able to provide good quality service and a high volume of accurate balls into the penalty area.

Despite not always being a regular starter for Lyon, the data shows Kenny Tete (top photo) consistently creates good-quality chances for the French club from the right-back position. His xA (expected assists) and successful passes into the penalty area totals of 0.13 and 1.86 respectively put him comfortably in the top 25 per cent across Ligue 1.

As well as having a consistent track record of providing assists, Tete is physically well-built and has the defensive solidity (he is in the top 25 per cent in Ligue 1 for possession-adjusted interceptions), ball retention skills (his passing accuracy of 86.4 per cent also ranks among the highest in the French top flight) to work well as a defensive full-back in a different system.

At times this season, notably against Burnley, Ancelotti has moved Coleman inside to act as a third centre-back in possession. Tete has the build and pace to play in this role too.

It is this combination of skills that make him a more suitable option than Max Aarons of Norwich City or Gentís Alessio Castro-Montes ó both of whom should also be under consideration.

Left-back

The lack of long-term cover for Digne is a concern, but this is not expected to be a priority position for Everton, who will push hardest for a centre-back, central midfielder and right midfielder.

Given Digne is still only 26, there doesnít seem to be a good reason to invest heavily in another left-back.

If cover is sought, it may be better to buy versatile youngsters such as Aaron Hickey from Hearts, following their relegation from Scotlandís top-flight, or Sikou Niakate of Franceís Guingamp, who could cover left centre-back or left-back.

Central midfield

Everton concede a lot of chances to passes played from the central midfield area. Finding someone to shield the back four adequately remains a priority.

[https://cdn]

Looking specifically at passes played from the middle third of the pitch (the darker the shade of green, the more passes come from that zone) we can see Everton attempt relatively few passes at below-average accuracy. When we break it down further to look at the ratio of passes played in the middle third, they are once again in the bottom-left quadrant compared to their Premier League rivals.

[https://cdn]

The numbers suggest Everton are also one of the poorer teams in the league at playing through the midfield, registering a low volume of passes at low accuracy.

[https://cdn]

There is a distinct lack of creative passing from the middle third of the pitch. Not only are Everton passing the ball relatively infrequently, but only West Ham United create fewer shots per 100 passes from the midfield area.

[https://cdn]

In the next two graphics, we assess Everton players by the average difficulty of the passes they attempt.

The higher on the graph they appear, the more difficult the attempted passes are. The further to the right they appear on the graph, the more likely their passes are to increase the chances of a goal being scored. This is calculated based on the start and end coordinates of each pass they made and the outcome of that pass.

[https://cdn]

Players who play a lot of simple passes will score lower than those who are making passes that either gain a lot of territory or penetrate areas near the opposition goal. Misplaced passes that lose possession are scored negatively, with a very high negative score for passes that significantly increase the chance of an opposition goal.

Everton have a good cluster of creative midfielders who are, on average, playing difficult passes with a reasonable success rate. What is striking, however, is the relatively low volume of passes made. The average pass made by Iwobi increases Evertonís chance of a goal as much as the average pass by Manchester Cityís footballer of the year candidate Kevin De Bruyne. However, De Bruyne is making twice as many passes per season.

Everton lack high-volume central midfield passers who feed the ball to their creative players. As reported by The Athletic recently, Ancelotti is looking for a central midfielder who can win the ball back but also quickly progress play forward and maintain possession under pressure. It is why Southamptonís Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, who has just one year left to run on his contract at St Maryís and is not expected to sign a new one, is of interest to the Italian.

Lilleís Boubakary Soumare is another player with potential. The 21-year-old must develop into more of a ball-winner but is far better at retaining possession than, say fellow Ligue 1 midfielder Ibrahim Sangare of Toulouse ó a player linked with Everton but over whom doubts remain because of perceived technical shortcomings. Soumare is also a very good mover with the ball, completing a very high number of his dribbles.

The Lille man could easily cost twice as much as Sangare but given his age and potential, this may still be a wise investment.

Baptiste Santamaria of Angers, also in France, and Florian Grillitsch at Germanyís Hoffenheim, two all-rounders capable of varied passing and ball recuperation, could also perform well in a central midfield duo.

Ultimately, it may be that Soumare proves the best option in the long term, but in the event of another Gbamin injury, he may need to be paired with Delph rather than Gomes to add solidity.

Right midfield

With Walcott and Bolasie both out of contract in 2021, Everton need a young option who will form a core part of the squad for years to come. Given Bernard is their third-top scorer on just three goals, Brands and Ancelotti will look to recruit another option able to hit the back of the net with regularity.

Cengiz Under of Roma and Villarrealís Samuel Chukwueze would add greatly to the attacking threat down the right-hand side. Brentfordís Bryan Mbeumo is also looking a player of much promise in the Championship, however, these players arguably suit a 4-3-3 system more than a 4-4-2.

Krepin Diatta of Club Brugge is particularly interesting. Diatta is an explosive one-on-one attacker, can open up tight defences and is adept at exploiting space when playing on the break. He ranks in the top five per cent across the Belgian league for progressive runs, dribbles and successful through balls.

The 21-year-old Senegal international is particularly interesting as he has also played some minutes at right-back in the last season and could function in a 4-4-2, 4-3-3, 4-3-2-1 or even a 3-4-3.

Diatta has increased his goal output this season and he has the potential to become even more prolific.

Summary

By strengthening the four key positions with relatively young players while simultaneously trimming the squad, Everton would be able to reduce future investment in transfers, concentrating on a small number of key purchases.

The likes of Gibson, Tyler Onyango and Lewis Dobbin from the academy could, in time, also be phased into the squad ó perhaps after gaining experience on loan. Under Brands, Everton are said to be more open to the prospect of sending young stars out on loan to the continent.

It may take a few more windows at least to build a more coherent squad, but with some of the right pieces in place, Everton have a huge opportunity.


Simply simply lovely


May 22, 2020, 06:25:34 PM
Reply #351
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brap2

NSNO Subscriber
I knew that someday I was going to die, and I knew that before I died, two things would happen to me. That number one; I would regret my entire life, and number two; that I would want to live my life over again.