AjaxAndy wrote: ↑Fri Feb 27, 2026 9:45 am
Here's an interesting stat for you all...
Only one time in the past 10 seasons has a team in the relegation zone at the halfway point or after changed their manager and survived.
That was Dyche when he took over from Lampard.
As much as everyone hates him, that's quite an impressive stat.
To balance that out though that season was the fewest points ever needed to survive in the Premier League
Re: Dyche Watch
Posted: Fri Feb 27, 2026 9:54 am
by AjaxAndy
Taken from this video which is an interesting watch regarding whether changing manager affects your chances of staying up, and when in the season the change matters.
Re: Dyche Watch
Posted: Fri Feb 27, 2026 10:20 am
by Shogun
AjaxAndy wrote: ↑Fri Feb 27, 2026 9:45 am
Here's an interesting stat for you all...
Only one time in the past 10 seasons has a team in the relegation zone at the halfway point or after changed their manager and survived.
That was Dyche when he took over from Lampard.
As much as everyone hates him, that's quite an impressive stat.
Was he not sacked in the relegation zone halfway through before Moyes replaced him? Or did he not quite make the 19 match mark?
Re: Dyche Watch
Posted: Fri Feb 27, 2026 10:25 am
by AjaxAndy
Shogun wrote: ↑Fri Feb 27, 2026 10:20 am
Was he not sacked in the relegation zone halfway through before Moyes replaced him? Or did he not quite make the 19 match mark?
Must have been just before that mark as the video goes through the last 10 seasons... Not sure the exact number but can't imagine it was much before tbh
Re: Dyche Watch
Posted: Fri Feb 27, 2026 10:45 am
by Cereal Killer
Shogun wrote: ↑Fri Feb 27, 2026 10:20 am
Was he not sacked in the relegation zone halfway through before Moyes replaced him? Or did he not quite make the 19 match mark?
Nah we were about 16th when he got the boot
Re: Dyche Watch
Posted: Fri Feb 27, 2026 11:23 am
by Shogun
Cereal Killer wrote: ↑Fri Feb 27, 2026 10:45 am
Nah we were about 16th when he got the boot
Ah yeah 1 point ahead of Ipswich who were 18th apparently. Shows just how badly he was doing that season considering how cut adrift the bottom 3 ended up.
Re: Dyche Watch
Posted: Fri Feb 27, 2026 1:28 pm
by AjaxAndy
Yeah that video goes in to the probability of changing manager when in or out of the relegation zone, and it does make a difference.
However the number of games a new manager has seems to be more important, so the earlier you replace the higher chance of staying up.
Based on the video it's statistically more likely West Ham stay up than Forest or Spurs, which I think is pretty interesting.