Not that this comes as a surprise
Just a stat (Sorry Cods)
Re: Just a stat (Sorry Cods)
Was going to say that 'not all analysis is bad, most is fine',...
But then I can't get past why in the first one that Brentford is supposedly the standout, and not Wolves?
Surely there is expected to be a positive correlation between shot conversion rate and xG per shot. I mean, that's effectively what xG means and was designed to predict; the more difficult the shot, the less likely to score, and vice versa?
Wolves appear to be very much over-performing compared to the rest of the league, converting a far greater proportion than a team would be expected to (couple of Cunha worldies, I expect).
Re: Just a stat (Sorry Cods)
You’re trying way too hard to find fault with the stats.Cods wrote: ↑Tue Dec 03, 2024 12:38 am Was going to say that 'not all analysis is bad, most is fine',...
But then I can't get past why in the first one that Brentford is supposedly the standout, and not Wolves?
Surely there is expected to be a positive correlation between shot conversion rate and xG per shot. I mean, that's effectively what xG means and was designed to predict; the more difficult the shot, the less likely to score, and vice versa?
Wolves appear to be very much over-performing compared to the rest of the league, converting a far greater proportion than a team would be expected to (couple of Cunha worldies, I expect).
Re: Just a stat (Sorry Cods)
I'm not sure how more simply this graph could be interpreted. It was literally the first thing that jumped out. I'm not having a crack at Shogs either, to be clear, strictly the comment from the opta stats media people or whoever posted it.
I'm assuming "Brentford

For a graph to mean anything, it has to be designed for a reason, to show something, and the Brentford and Palace/Everton ends arent it, they're part of a pretty logical correlation based on the variables they've used. I'm sure there are others out there that would agree?
Re: Just a stat (Sorry Cods)
Not read it obviously but.. presumably because what can you say beyond 'wolves scored worldies', whereas a team of brentfords side making regular quality chances and converting them is the sign of a team playing well to a designed scheme so is an actual thing to talk about beyond goal man goes boom.Cods wrote: ↑Tue Dec 03, 2024 12:38 am Was going to say that 'not all analysis is bad, most is fine',...
But then I can't get past why in the first one that Brentford is supposedly the standout, and not Wolves?
Surely there is expected to be a positive correlation between shot conversion rate and xG per shot. I mean, that's effectively what xG means and was designed to predict; the more difficult the shot, the less likely to score, and vice versa?
Wolves appear to be very much over-performing compared to the rest of the league, converting a far greater proportion than a team would be expected to (couple of Cunha worldies, I expect).
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Kerryblueboy
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